Friday, April 24, 2015



The Lake House on the Pale Blue Dot

Recently I watched the 2006 movie The Lake House starring Keanu Reeves and Sandra Bullock about a couple separated by two years of time and yet connected by an old mail box outside of a lake house, perhaps near Chicago, to which they both drive, inside an hour, in order to deposit and collect letters from each other.  They of course fall in love and she, living two years ahead of him, is able to warn him to avoid a certain accident which she knows about, and saves his life. Then somehow they break through the time barrier and physically meet. Quite a nice movie.
By coincidence I was at the same time reading Pale Blue Dot: a vision of the human future in space by the late great science publicist Carl Sagan.  I’ll try and explain the connection. We can be separated by time as we’ll as distance, determined by the speed of light which is very fast but still has a velocity beyond which nothing can go faster. [I wonder if the same folk who are climate deniers will find fault with this J] When Neil Armstrong and ‘Buzz’ Aldrin walked on the Moon in July 1969 they were 1.3 seconds out of sync with us. But for Keanu Reeves and Sandra Bullock to be out of sync by two years they’d have to be 11.76 trillion miles apart. That’s a long way to go to a letter drop. 

Carl Sagan’s book takes its title from an extraordinary photograph that was taken by the Voyager 1 space-probe in 1990 as it was leaving our solar system after 13 years travel from launch.
  
This is what our home planet looks like from 3.7 billion miles away – a pale dot (encircled to help you see it) caught in a dusty sunbeam. It took five and half hours to beam the picture home.  Let me quote what this dim photo meant to Carl Sagan as expressed in the beginning of his book.

“Look again at that dot. That’s here. That’s home. That’s us. On it everyone you love, everyone you know, everyone you ever heard of, every human being who ever was, lived out their lives. The aggregate of our joy and suffering, thousands of confident religions, ideologies, and economic doctrines, every hunter and forager, every hero and coward, every creator and destroyer of civilization, every king and peasant, every young couple in love, every mother and father, hopeful child, inventor and explorer, every teacher of morals, every corrupt politician, every “superstar”. Every “supreme leader”, every saint and sinner in the history of our species lived there – on a mote of dust suspended in a sunbeam.”

“The Earth is a very small stage in a vast cosmic arena. Think of the rivers of blood spilled by all those generals and emperors so that in glory and triumph they could become the momentary masters of a fraction of a dot. Think of the endless cruelties visited by the inhabitants of one corner of this pixel on the scarcely distinguishable inhabitants of some other corner. How frequent their misunderstandings, how eager they are to kill one another, how fervent their hatreds. Our posturings, our imagined self-importance, the delusion that we have some privileged position in the universe, are challenged by this point of pale light. Our planet is a lonely speck in the great enveloping cosmic dark. In our obscurity – in all this vastness – there is no hint that help will come from elsewhere to save us from ourselves. “

“It has been said that astronomy is a humbling and character-building experience. There is perhaps no better demonstration of the folly of human conceits than this distant image of our tiny world. To me, it underscores our responsibility to deal more kindly with one another and to preserve and cherish the pale blue dot, the only home we’ve ever known.”
As I’ve been preparing this essay in recent days we’ve marked the 150th anniversary of the end of the American Civil War which killed approximately 700,000;  then the 70th anniversary of the ‘liberation’ of the Nazi death camps; and the centenary of the Armenian genocide. Oh, and Earth Day, at a time when the overwhelming evidence of climate change is being denied by too many politicians, and other species are being annihilated at the greatest rate since the last big asteroid hit and killed off approximately 90% of all species, but not obviously and fortunately for us – our own ancestors.
In Pale Blue Dot  Sagan worried, 21 years ago, about human destruction of this planet and wondered if we’d need to move somewhere else. The question is –where? There’s nothing very habitable in our solar system and the nearest other solar system to us is 24.7 trillion miles away, which at the speed of the Voyager spacecraft would take 6,675 years to get there. That’s a long time to be cooped up in a spaceship, and especially if there’s no habitable planet once you get there. 

When Sagan was writing we didn’t know much about planets in other solar systems. Now, perhaps not too surprisingly, we’re discovering that many stars, i.e. other suns, have planets going around them. This information has been pouring in in the last few years thanks to the Kepler telescope which was launched into orbit in 2009 and has been looking for planets orbiting other stars in our Milky Way galaxy which is estimated to have approximately 300 billion stars in it. And then remember there are well over 100 billion galaxies. With four or five planets per star this could mean trillions of planets. Therefore the chances of quite a few of them being of similar size and composition and distance from their sun as we are from ours – in the ‘goldilocks’ setting -  is overwhelming; and thus the likelihood of life on some of these other planets almost certain. 

That’s the good news. Tantalizing questions and challenges then arise. How do we find out if indeed there is life on some goldilocks planet in another solar system? They’re so far away. As we saw, the nearest possible one is 24.7 trillion miles away. Our telescope technology will of course improve with time, but at present we can’t actually see these other planets, simply detect the extremely tiny affect we can detect some orbiting object is having on its star. 

Supposing there’s not only life but intelligent life. Since the 1980s we’ve been beaming messages out into space. So far no one has replied, nor have we picked up anyone else’s message. And what would we do if we did? After taking this picture of how earth looks from the edge of our solar system, Voyager has continued off into outer space and we’ve lost contact with it. But on it goes, and just in case ‘someone’ comes across it they will find on board photos of what earth creatures (us) look like, a map of our solar system locating Earth, and some music and messages. Well, you know, just in case some extraterrestrials appreciate the Beatles. 

The thing it’s difficult for any of us to get our heads around are the distances between us and other solar systems. The nearest other solar system to us takes light four years to get to us. That would apply to radio waves as well, leading to a boringly slow conversation, but nonetheless possible. However, there’s no ‘goldilocks’ planet there. The Kepler telescope has discovered a promising planet with water on it, so therefore it could have life on it; but what we’re seeing of it has taken 124,000 years for the planet’s image to get here. And likewise, if there is a technologically advanced civilization there looking at us with powerful telescopes, they’ll be chuckling as they watch a few apelike creatures running around looking for food, because the picture reaching them will be of us 124,000 years ago. So if there are intelligent folk out there who have solved all the problems of poverty, discrimination, war etc. it’s going to be difficult to ask them for advice, because by the time they send us that good advice we’ll have buggered everything up long since.   


Friday, April 3, 2015



Eternal Life

This seems a good subject for this weekend. But I’ve been pondering it ever since I read this in the January issue of National Geographic: “if you can live a few years more, there is a real chance you will never die, since mortality may be just a technical problem we solve.” Now as a 74 year old biologist, that caught my attention. Sure I’d like to see both houses of Congress controlled by Democrats, and see my granddaughter (currently 19 months old) graduate from college. But live forever?  

A bit of context: the statement I just quoted is part of a blurb written by Byron Reese to promote his new book which National Geographic saw fit to promote in its New Year edition. Yes, Byron is a young man – not a physician or biologist but a technocrat businessman and futurist. Reese’s book is entitled Infinite Progress: How the Internet and Technology will end Ignorance, Disease, Poverty, Hunger and War. And it seems - death. Heh, I’m for ending all five of those biggies that Byron says he can deal with; but since his book came out, ISIS, Boko Haram and Al Shabab seem to be using the internet and technology to head us in the opposite direction.  

But that’s not what I want to talk about in this blog. All sane people want to see the scourges listed in the book’s title go away. What I want to take issue with is the promise of ending death, the promise of eternal life. First, medical science should focus not so much on extending the life of elderly people as to tackling childhood diseases. I find it very painful to see images of children dying of cancer, their lives cut far too short.
I’ve already lived longer than both my grandfathers, and in another couple of years and I’ll have lived longer than both my parents. Modern medicine has given me better health in my seventies than it was thought possible a century ago. But live forever? – no way! 

Living things are designed to have a limited life span: some insects a day or two, some trees a thousand years. Amongst our ape cousins we humans have the longest lifespan, in part because of our extended childhood period leaving time for that big brain to develop. If in the next generation or so it is figured out how to extend life indefinitely  -  as a biologist I’m skeptical that it’s possible – then humanity would face an enormous moral crisis.

Generations pass on (it’s a good phrase) to make room for the next generations, not only physically and biologically but in terms of running our societies with new and better and more just ideas. If this medical breakthrough which Byron Reese predicts comes about it will be millionaires lining up to enjoy the expensive procedure while millions in Africa and Asia continue to die far too young. Furthermore, this planet is way overpopulated with humans as it is, driving many other species to extinction while being unable to feed all seven billion humans adequately. Curtail death and at some point we’d have to ban birth. 

I am extremely fortunate to be alive at this time in history. I feel the need to give back by helping people to appreciate the wonderful world of living creatures we have around us. In my very small way I vote and donate and advocate for a more just society. Then it will be time to move on, and younger and better generations can take the amazing story the next step.  To life!